Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
85 : 912023.04.01 · 종료
Red City RoarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsRed City Roar
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
-0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-18.75
184.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.58
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
L · 95-77L · 82-111L · 125-91L · 108-65L · 63-86
Red City Roar
L · 79-73L · 74-86L · 82-120W · 63-86L · 91-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.11 | Red City Roar | 78 : 91 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2023.04.01 | South West Metro Pirates | 85 : 91 | Red City Roar |
| 2022.07.30 | South West Metro Pirates | 63 : 86 | Red City Roar |
| 2022.07.08 | Red City Roar | 102 : 78 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2021.07.17 | South West Metro Pirates | 109 : 113 | Red City Roar |
| 2021.05.22 | Red City Roar | 83 : 78 | South West Metro Pirates |