Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia

Southern DistrictHOME · -
73 : 862023.04.01 · 종료
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.0%
VALUE EDGE+79.0%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsSunshine Coast Phoenix
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.08
178.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern District
L · 102-89W · 106-91L · 99-82W · 90-85W · 102-71
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
W · 82-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.15 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 67 : 85 | Southern District |
| 2023.04.01 | Southern District | 73 : 86 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix |