Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Rockhampton RocketsHOME · -
102 : 1032023.04.01 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Rockhampton RocketsAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
178.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rockhampton Rockets
L · 106-90W · 99-96L · 95-86W · 91-104W · 94-106
Townsville Heat
L · 82-64W · 99-70L · 116-68L · 92-71L · 88-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.30 | Townsville Heat | 101 : 69 | Rockhampton Rockets |
| 2023.04.01 | Rockhampton Rockets | 102 : 103 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.06.18 | Rockhampton Rockets | 76 : 81 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.05.27 | Townsville Heat | 91 : 100 | Rockhampton Rockets |
| 2021.05.22 | Townsville Heat | 103 : 73 | Rockhampton Rockets |