Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
82 : 642023.03.31 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADES
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 106-90L · 63-93W · 87-98W · 78-88W · 74-99
Townsville Heat
W · 99-70L · 116-68L · 92-71L · 88-83L · 74-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Townsville Heat | 83 : 94 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2023.03.31 | Mackay Meteors | 82 : 64 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.07.23 | Townsville Heat | 74 : 99 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.06.17 | Mackay Meteors | 82 : 74 | Townsville Heat |
| 2021.05.14 | Townsville Heat | 87 : 84 | Mackay Meteors |