Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia
Townsville HeatHOME · -
99 : 702023.03.26 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.2%
VALUE EDGE+74.2%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.00
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 116-68L · 92-71L · 88-83L · 74-99W · 109-76
Cairns Marlins
L · 90-63W · 116-68L · 78-88L · 90-85W · 90-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Cairns Marlins | 110 : 93 | Townsville Heat |
| 2023.03.26 | Townsville Heat | 99 : 70 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2022.08.06 | Cairns Marlins | 116 : 68 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.06.25 | Townsville Heat | 81 : 118 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.08.28 | Townsville Heat | 69 : 85 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.25 | Townsville Heat | 74 : 90 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.10 | Townsville Heat | 82 : 79 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.05.29 | Cairns Marlins | 88 : 82 | Townsville Heat |