Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia

Logan ThunderHOME · -
95 : 772023.03.24 · 종료
South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.1%
VALUE EDGE+85.1%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+10.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.83
173.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder
W · 74-86W · 125-91L · 102-90L · 101-110L · 94-106
South West Metro Pirates
L · 82-111L · 125-91L · 108-65L · 63-86L · 89-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.07 | South West Metro Pirates | 89 : 82 | Logan Thunder |
| 2023.03.24 | Logan Thunder | 95 : 77 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2022.08.06 | Logan Thunder | 125 : 91 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 2022.06.25 | South West Metro Pirates | 86 : 110 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.05.29 | South West Metro Pirates | 81 : 107 | Logan Thunder |