Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 15
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
63 : 932022.08.06 · 종료
Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.7%
VALUE EDGE+69.7%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 87-98W · 78-88W · 74-99W · 103-70L · 85-86
Darwin Salties
L · 99-96L · 87-98L · 89-84L · 103-96W · 116-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.19 | Mackay Meteors | 92 : 86 | Darwin Salties |
| 2023.05.13 | Darwin Salties | 102 : 88 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.08.06 | Mackay Meteors | 63 : 93 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.07.30 | Darwin Salties | 87 : 98 | Mackay Meteors |