Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 15

Logan ThunderHOME · -

125 : 912022.08.06 · 종료

South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.8%

VALUE EDGE+72.8%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEA

Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

173.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.17

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Logan Thunder

L · 102-90L · 101-110L · 94-106W · 75-99L · 76-98

South West Metro Pirates

L · 108-65L · 63-86L · 89-91L · 102-71L · 83-107

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	South West Metro Pirates	89 : 82	Logan Thunder
2023.03.24	Logan Thunder	95 : 77	South West Metro Pirates
2022.08.06	Logan Thunder	125 : 91	South West Metro Pirates
2022.06.25	South West Metro Pirates	86 : 110	Logan Thunder
2021.05.29	South West Metro Pirates	81 : 107	Logan Thunder