Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 13
Southern DistrictHOME · -
90 : 852022.07.24 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.9%
VALUE EDGE+71.9%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.00
178.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.67
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Southern District
W · 102-71W · 85-96L · 118-97W · 85-86L · 126-69
Cairns Marlins
W · 90-92W · 94-99W · 109-81W · 90-79W · 85-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.06 | Cairns Marlins | 70 : 98 | Southern District |
| 2022.07.24 | Southern District | 90 : 85 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.06.11 | Cairns Marlins | 85 : 68 | Southern District |