Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 13

USC Rip CityHOME · -

89 : 842022.07.24 · 종료

Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.5%

VALUE EDGE+57.5%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEA

USC Rip CityAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

191.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.75

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation6.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

USC Rip City

W · 89-91W · 76-88W · 102-82W · 85-76L · 85-93

Darwin Salties

L · 103-96W · 116-96L · 90-95W · 99-86L · 100-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.27	Darwin Salties	113 : 101	USC Rip City
2022.08.13	USC Rip City	89 : 86	Darwin Salties
2022.07.24	USC Rip City	89 : 84	Darwin Salties