Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 13

Townsville HeatHOME · -

74 : 992022.07.23 · 종료

Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY77.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +77.0%

VALUE EDGE+77.0%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADEA

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83

184.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.17

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

23.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

77.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

W · 109-76L · 97-103W · 80-84L · 93-86W · 85-110

Mackay Meteors

W · 103-70L · 85-86W · 90-100W · 82-74W · 48-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.17	Townsville Heat	83 : 94	Mackay Meteors
2023.03.31	Mackay Meteors	82 : 64	Townsville Heat
2022.07.23	Townsville Heat	74 : 99	Mackay Meteors
2022.06.17	Mackay Meteors	82 : 74	Townsville Heat
2021.05.14	Townsville Heat	87 : 84	Mackay Meteors