Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 13

Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -

94 : 992022.07.22 · 종료

Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%

VALUE EDGE+50.6%

FAIR ODDS1.98

GRADEA

Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better +0.00

189.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.67

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation0.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Brisbane Capitals

W · 83-107W · 100-87L · 85-76W · 93-86W · 100-77

Cairns Marlins

W · 109-81W · 90-79W · 85-93W · 87-93W · 81-118

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.14	Cairns Marlins	91 : 86	Brisbane Capitals
2022.07.22	Brisbane Capitals	94 : 99	Cairns Marlins
2021.07.23	Cairns Marlins	97 : 82	Brisbane Capitals