Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 12

Southern DistrictHOME · -

102 : 712022.07.17 · 종료

South West Metro PiratesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY55.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 54.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +55.7%

VALUE EDGE+55.7%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEB

Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsSouth West Metro Pirates

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83

178.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.17

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.5 / 15

Prediction separation4.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

44.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

55.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern District

W · 85-96L · 118-97W · 85-86L · 126-69L · 85-110

South West Metro Pirates

L · 83-107L · 102-78L · 70-102L · 86-110W · 90-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.27	South West Metro Pirates	106 : 83	Southern District
2022.07.17	Southern District	102 : 71	South West Metro Pirates
2021.05.15	South West Metro Pirates	86 : 92	Southern District