Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 12
Townsville HeatHOME · -
109 : 762022.07.16 · 종료
Red City RoarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsRed City Roar
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-18.75
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.58
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 97-103W · 80-84L · 93-86W · 85-110L · 81-118
Red City Roar
L · 109-81L · 102-82W · 102-78W · 101-107L · 66-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Red City Roar | 97 : 88 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.07.16 | Townsville Heat | 109 : 76 | Red City Roar |