Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 12
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
103 : 702022.07.16 · 종료
Northside WizardsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsNorthside Wizards
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.83
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
L · 85-86W · 90-100W · 82-74W · 48-82W · 91-98
Northside Wizards
L · 102-95L · 93-86L · 80-84W · 66-69L · 89-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.22 | Northside Wizards | 78 : 93 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.07.16 | Mackay Meteors | 103 : 70 | Northside Wizards |
| 2021.07.11 | Northside Wizards | 74 : 107 | Mackay Meteors |