Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 12

South West Metro PiratesHOME · -

83 : 1072022.07.16 · 종료

Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY73.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +73.3%

VALUE EDGE+73.3%

FAIR ODDS1.36

GRADEB

South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

184.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 189.92

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

26.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

73.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

South West Metro Pirates

L · 102-78L · 70-102L · 86-110W · 90-89L · 48-82

Brisbane Capitals

W · 100-87L · 85-76W · 93-86W · 100-77W · 79-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.02	Brisbane Capitals	123 : 75	South West Metro Pirates
2022.07.16	South West Metro Pirates	83 : 107	Brisbane Capitals
2021.06.05	Brisbane Capitals	86 : 78	South West Metro Pirates