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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 11
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
90 : 792022.07.09 · 종료
North Gold Coast SeahawksAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsNorth Gold Coast Seahawks
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better -8.67
185.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.00
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
W · 85-93W · 87-93W · 81-118L · 91-84L · 81-84
North Gold Coast Seahawks
W · 97-103L · 101-107L · 92-99L · 90-89W · 78-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.22North Gold Coast Seahawks98 : 90Cairns Marlins
2022.07.09Cairns Marlins90 : 79North Gold Coast Seahawks