Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 11
Mackay MeteorsHOME · -
85 : 862022.07.08 · 종료
Southern DistrictAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.8%
VALUE EDGE+86.8%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsSouthern District
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mackay Meteors
W · 90-100W · 82-74W · 48-82W · 91-98L · 80-72
Southern District
L · 126-69L · 85-110L · 75-91L · 102-77L · 93-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.23 | Southern District | 90 : 100 | Mackay Meteors |
| 2022.07.08 | Mackay Meteors | 85 : 86 | Southern District |
| 2021.07.10 | Southern District | 80 : 99 | Mackay Meteors |