Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 10

Northside WizardsHOME · -

80 : 842022.07.03 · 종료

Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.4%

VALUE EDGE+56.4%

FAIR ODDS1.77

GRADEA

Northside WizardsAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-3.83 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17

177.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation5.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Northside Wizards

W · 66-69L · 89-98W · 79-87W · 93-77W · 92-76

Townsville Heat

L · 93-86W · 85-110L · 81-118W · 76-81L · 82-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.08	Townsville Heat	104 : 86	Northside Wizards
2022.07.03	Northside Wizards	80 : 84	Townsville Heat