Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 10

Southern DistrictHOME · -

85 : 1102022.07.01 · 종료

Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY70.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +70.1%

VALUE EDGE+70.1%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEB

Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17

178.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

29.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

70.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern District

L · 75-91L · 102-77L · 93-77L · 86-110L · 116-87

Townsville Heat

L · 81-118W · 76-81L · 82-74L · 80-89L · 84-103

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.05	Townsville Heat	84 : 92	Southern District
2022.07.01	Southern District	85 : 110	Townsville Heat
2021.06.12	Townsville Heat	93 : 82	Southern District