Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 9

Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -

100 : 772022.06.26 · 종료

Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.6%

VALUE EDGE+54.6%

FAIR ODDS1.83

GRADEA

Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

189.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.75

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.8 / 15

Prediction separation4.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Brisbane Capitals

W · 79-100W · 102-77L · 88-99L · 79-73W · 86-110

Darwin Salties

W · 75-91W · 89-98W · 91-84W · 87-75W · 99-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.06	Darwin Salties	117 : 91	Brisbane Capitals
2022.06.26	Brisbane Capitals	100 : 77	Darwin Salties