Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 9
Townsville HeatHOME · -
81 : 1182022.06.25 · 종료
Cairns MarlinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADES
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsCairns Marlins
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.00
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
W · 76-81L · 82-74L · 80-89L · 84-103L · 91-100
Cairns Marlins
L · 91-84L · 81-84W · 92-87W · 103-97W · 108-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Cairns Marlins | 110 : 93 | Townsville Heat |
| 2023.03.26 | Townsville Heat | 99 : 70 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2022.08.06 | Cairns Marlins | 116 : 68 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.06.25 | Townsville Heat | 81 : 118 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.08.28 | Townsville Heat | 69 : 85 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.25 | Townsville Heat | 74 : 90 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.07.10 | Townsville Heat | 82 : 79 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2021.05.29 | Cairns Marlins | 88 : 82 | Townsville Heat |