Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 9

Southern DistrictHOME · -

75 : 912022.06.25 · 종료

Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.2%

VALUE EDGE+67.2%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEB

Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

178.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 190.75

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.9 / 15

Prediction separation14.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern District

L · 102-77L · 93-77L · 86-110L · 116-87L · 102-104

Darwin Salties

W · 89-98W · 91-84W · 87-75W · 99-83L · 108-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.25	Darwin Salties	102 : 89	Southern District
2022.06.25	Southern District	75 : 91	Darwin Salties