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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 8
Rockhampton RocketsHOME · -
76 : 812022.06.18 · 종료
Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Rockhampton RocketsAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
178.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rockhampton Rockets
L · 97-91L · 107-96L · 76-103L · 103-97W · 91-100
Townsville Heat
L · 82-74L · 80-89L · 84-103L · 91-100L · 88-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.30Townsville Heat101 : 69Rockhampton Rockets
2023.04.01Rockhampton Rockets102 : 103Townsville Heat
2022.06.18Rockhampton Rockets76 : 81Townsville Heat
2022.05.27Townsville Heat91 : 100Rockhampton Rockets
2021.05.22Townsville Heat103 : 73Rockhampton Rockets