Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 8

Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -

102 : 772022.06.18 · 종료

Southern DistrictAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +70.9%

VALUE EDGE+70.9%

FAIR ODDS1.41

GRADEA

Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsSouthern District

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better +4.17

189.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.17

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

70.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Brisbane Capitals

L · 88-99L · 79-73W · 86-110L · 88-93L · 89-91

Southern District

L · 93-77L · 86-110L · 116-87L · 102-104L · 87-104

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Southern District	101 : 94	Brisbane Capitals
2023.05.14	Brisbane Capitals	90 : 96	Southern District
2022.06.18	Brisbane Capitals	102 : 77	Southern District
2022.06.05	Southern District	86 : 110	Brisbane Capitals
2021.05.22	Brisbane Capitals	86 : 70	Southern District