Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 8

Mackay MeteorsHOME · -

82 : 742022.06.17 · 종료

Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.1%

VALUE EDGE+53.1%

FAIR ODDS1.88

GRADEA

Mackay MeteorsAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17

171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.8 / 15

Prediction separation2.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mackay Meteors

W · 48-82W · 91-98L · 80-72W · 99-83W · 83-114

Townsville Heat

L · 80-89L · 84-103L · 91-100L · 88-96W · 78-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.17	Townsville Heat	83 : 94	Mackay Meteors
2023.03.31	Mackay Meteors	82 : 64	Townsville Heat
2022.07.23	Townsville Heat	74 : 99	Mackay Meteors
2022.06.17	Mackay Meteors	82 : 74	Townsville Heat
2021.05.14	Townsville Heat	87 : 84	Mackay Meteors