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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 7
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
48 : 822022.06.12 · 종료
Mackay MeteorsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsMackay Meteors
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
184.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.17
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
22.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
77.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
L · 93-77L · 99-83L · 84-96W · 105-92L · 77-72
Mackay Meteors
W · 91-98L · 80-72W · 99-83W · 83-114L · 86-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.22South West Metro Pirates94 : 72Mackay Meteors
2023.04.29Mackay Meteors87 : 97South West Metro Pirates
2022.06.12South West Metro Pirates48 : 82Mackay Meteors
2021.06.19Mackay Meteors103 : 92South West Metro Pirates