Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 7

Townsville HeatHOME · -

80 : 892022.06.11 · 종료

Logan ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY61.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.5%

VALUE EDGE+61.5%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsLogan Thunder

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better +10.17

184.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.17

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

38.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

61.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

L · 84-103L · 91-100L · 88-96W · 78-94W · 75-66

Logan Thunder

W · 81-84W · 88-93L · 109-118L · 97-93W · 72-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.23	Logan Thunder	98 : 70	Townsville Heat
2022.06.11	Townsville Heat	80 : 89	Logan Thunder
2021.06.04	Logan Thunder	82 : 67	Townsville Heat