Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 7

Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
81 : 842022.06.10 · 종료
Logan ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEB
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsLogan Thunder
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+0.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
185.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
W · 92-87W · 103-97W · 108-99L · 88-81L · 97-83
Logan Thunder
W · 88-93L · 109-118L · 97-93W · 72-97L · 67-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.17 | Logan Thunder | 108 : 68 | Cairns Marlins |
| 2022.06.10 | Cairns Marlins | 81 : 84 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.09.04 | Logan Thunder | 67 : 96 | Cairns Marlins |