Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 6

Southern DistrictHOME · -

86 : 1102022.06.05 · 종료

Brisbane CapitalsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.8%

VALUE EDGE+52.8%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

Southern DistrictAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Capitals

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+4.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

178.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 189.92

80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.6 / 15

Prediction separation2.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Southern District

L · 116-87L · 102-104L · 87-104L · 92-85L · 72-97

Brisbane Capitals

L · 88-93L · 89-91L · 97-91L · 69-66W · 80-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Southern District	101 : 94	Brisbane Capitals
2023.05.14	Brisbane Capitals	90 : 96	Southern District
2022.06.18	Brisbane Capitals	102 : 77	Southern District
2022.06.05	Southern District	86 : 110	Brisbane Capitals
2021.05.22	Brisbane Capitals	86 : 70	Southern District