Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 6
Townsville HeatHOME · -
84 : 1032022.06.04 · 종료
Gold Coast RollersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsGold Coast Rollers
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.75
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
196.75
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 91-100L · 88-96W · 78-94W · 75-66L · 69-85
Gold Coast Rollers
L · 92-87W · 86-82W · 84-96W · 88-79W · 88-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.19 | Gold Coast Rollers | 106 : 93 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.06.04 | Townsville Heat | 84 : 103 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 2021.06.06 | Gold Coast Rollers | 75 : 81 | Townsville Heat |