Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 6

Brisbane CapitalsHOME · -
88 : 932022.06.03 · 종료
Logan ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEB
Brisbane CapitalsAnalysis MetricsLogan Thunder
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
189.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.17
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation14.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brisbane Capitals
L · 89-91L · 97-91L · 69-66W · 80-82W · 79-80
Logan Thunder
L · 109-118L · 97-93W · 72-97L · 67-96W · 103-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.19 | Logan Thunder | 98 : 79 | Brisbane Capitals |
| 2022.06.03 | Brisbane Capitals | 88 : 93 | Logan Thunder |
| 2021.06.18 | Logan Thunder | 89 : 77 | Brisbane Capitals |