Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 North Australia · 5

Townsville HeatHOME · -

91 : 1002022.05.27 · 종료

Rockhampton RocketsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY18.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +81.2%

VALUE EDGE+81.2%

FAIR ODDS1.23

GRADEB

Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsRockhampton Rockets

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-6.17 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58

184.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.92

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

81.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

18.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Townsville Heat

L · 88-96W · 78-94W · 75-66L · 69-85W · 68-89

Rockhampton Rockets

W · 97-91W · 77-92W · 97-83L · 64-93W · 89-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.30	Townsville Heat	101 : 69	Rockhampton Rockets
2023.04.01	Rockhampton Rockets	102 : 103	Townsville Heat
2022.06.18	Rockhampton Rockets	76 : 81	Townsville Heat
2022.05.27	Townsville Heat	91 : 100	Rockhampton Rockets
2021.05.22	Townsville Heat	103 : 73	Rockhampton Rockets