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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 4
Logan ThunderHOME · -
109 : 1182022.05.21 · 종료
USC Rip CityAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Logan ThunderAnalysis MetricsUSC Rip City
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
173.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 191.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Logan Thunder
L · 97-93W · 72-97L · 67-96W · 103-88W · 132-99
USC Rip City
L · 102-94W · 71-105L · 106-91W · 72-94W · 89-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.06USC Rip City90 : 98Logan Thunder
2022.05.21Logan Thunder109 : 118USC Rip City
2021.07.09USC Rip City55 : 78Logan Thunder