Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 4
Townsville HeatHOME · -
88 : 962022.05.20 · 종료
Darwin SaltiesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsDarwin Salties
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.75
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
W · 78-94W · 75-66L · 69-85W · 68-89L · 74-90
Darwin Salties
W · 97-93L · 78-94W · 87-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Darwin Salties | 102 : 84 | Townsville Heat |
| 2023.04.29 | Townsville Heat | 86 : 91 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.20 | Townsville Heat | 88 : 96 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.07 | Darwin Salties | 78 : 94 | Townsville Heat |