Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 3

Darwin SaltiesHOME · -
97 : 932022.05.14 · 종료
Logan ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsLogan Thunder
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
190.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.17
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Darwin Salties
L · 78-94W · 87-81
Logan Thunder
W · 72-97L · 67-96W · 103-88W · 132-99W · 89-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.22 | Logan Thunder | 81 : 66 | Darwin Salties |
| 2023.07.02 | Logan Thunder | 97 : 75 | Darwin Salties |
| 2022.05.14 | Darwin Salties | 97 : 93 | Logan Thunder |