Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 North Australia · 2

Darwin SaltiesHOME · -

78 : 942022.05.07 · 종료

Townsville HeatAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.9%

VALUE EDGE+52.9%

FAIR ODDS1.89

GRADEA

Darwin SaltiesAnalysis MetricsTownsville Heat

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-0.92 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17

190.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.83

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.4 / 15

Prediction separation2.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Darwin Salties

W · 87-81

Townsville Heat

W · 75-66L · 69-85W · 68-89L · 74-90W · 78-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.03	Darwin Salties	102 : 84	Townsville Heat
2023.04.29	Townsville Heat	86 : 91	Darwin Salties
2022.05.20	Townsville Heat	88 : 96	Darwin Salties
2022.05.07	Darwin Salties	78 : 94	Townsville Heat