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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 2
South West Metro PiratesHOME · -
105 : 922022.05.07 · 종료
Ipswich ForceAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
South West Metro PiratesAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.17
184.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 195.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
South West Metro Pirates
L · 77-72L · 68-89L · 84-114L · 109-113L · 89-83
Ipswich Force
L · 80-82L · 88-79L · 75-66W · 71-80L · 79-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.07South West Metro Pirates98 : 91Ipswich Force
2023.04.16Ipswich Force91 : 89South West Metro Pirates
2022.07.31Ipswich Force108 : 65South West Metro Pirates
2022.05.07South West Metro Pirates105 : 92Ipswich Force
2021.07.11Ipswich Force89 : 83South West Metro Pirates