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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 North Australia · 1
Cairns MarlinsHOME · -
88 : 792022.04.30 · 종료
Ipswich ForceAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
Cairns MarlinsAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.00 Point MarginHigher is better +1.17
185.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 195.50
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cairns Marlins
L · 81-78W · 67-96W · 69-85L · 89-86L · 98-79
Ipswich Force
L · 75-66W · 71-80L · 79-75L · 98-85L · 81-102

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.22Ipswich Force99 : 92Cairns Marlins
2023.06.18Ipswich Force98 : 111Cairns Marlins
2022.04.30Cairns Marlins88 : 79Ipswich Force
2021.05.22Ipswich Force72 : 83Cairns Marlins