Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 North
Australia · 1
Townsville HeatHOME · -
75 : 662022.04.29 · 종료
Ipswich ForceAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEB
Townsville HeatAnalysis MetricsIpswich Force
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.17
184.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
195.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Townsville Heat
L · 69-85W · 68-89L · 74-90W · 78-60W · 82-79
Ipswich Force
W · 71-80L · 79-75L · 98-85L · 81-102W · 89-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Ipswich Force | 99 : 94 | Townsville Heat |
| 2022.04.29 | Townsville Heat | 75 : 66 | Ipswich Force |
| 2021.06.05 | Ipswich Force | 73 : 92 | Townsville Heat |