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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -
90 : 782024.05.18 · 종료
Central Coast WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.2%
VALUE EDGE+75.2%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsCentral Coast W
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better -33.33
149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newcastle Falcons W
W · 73-64W · 73-56W · 75-80W · 58-79W · 85-59
Central Coast W
W · 92-79L · 82-68L · 63-69W · 100-66W · 86-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.11Central Coast W62 : 102Newcastle Falcons W
2024.05.18Newcastle Falcons W90 : 78Central Coast W
2023.05.13Central Coast W42 : 98Newcastle Falcons W