Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Maitland Mustangs WHOME · -

68 : 692024.05.18 · 종료

Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY16.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +83.7%

VALUE EDGE+83.7%

FAIR ODDS1.20

GRADES

Maitland Mustangs WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

+7.25 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50

151.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

83.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

16.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Maitland Mustangs W

L · 56-72L · 99-65L · 62-74W · 74-84W · 71-68

Penrith P. W

L · 59-117L · 78-68W · 56-53L · 75-80L · 79-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.20	Penrith P. W	53 : 81	Maitland Mustangs W
2024.06.16	Penrith P. W	77 : 72	Maitland Mustangs W
2024.05.18	Maitland Mustangs W	68 : 69	Penrith P. W
2023.07.09	Penrith P. W	48 : 54	Maitland Mustangs W