Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Illawarra Hawks WHOME · -
83 : 582024.05.11 · 종료
Hornsby S. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.7%
VALUE EDGE+81.7%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Illawarra Hawks WAnalysis MetricsHornsby S. W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-14.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.33
151.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.33
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Illawarra Hawks W
L · 85-72L · 88-52L · 58-67W · 80-61W · 79-56
Hornsby S. W
L · 83-94L · 100-78W · 62-74L · 85-59L · 50-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.29 | Hornsby S. W | 107 : 52 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2024.05.11 | Illawarra Hawks W | 83 : 58 | Hornsby S. W |
| 2023.04.15 | Illawarra Hawks W | 85 : 60 | Hornsby S. W |