Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Maitland Mustangs WHOME · -
56 : 722024.05.11 · 종료
Hills Hornets WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
Maitland Mustangs WAnalysis MetricsHills Hornets W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.33
151.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Maitland Mustangs W
L · 99-65L · 62-74W · 74-84W · 71-68W · 81-49
Hills Hornets W
W · 74-70W · 85-72L · 56-69L · 100-66L · 72-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Hills Hornets W | 101 : 80 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2026.05.23 | Maitland Mustangs W | 82 : 76 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2024.05.11 | Maitland Mustangs W | 56 : 72 | Hills Hornets W |
| 2023.04.29 | Hills Hornets W | 59 : 69 | Maitland Mustangs W |