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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 East Women Australia
Norths Bears WHOME · -
78 : 682024.05.11 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+22.92 Point MarginHigher is better -26.50
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norths Bears W
W · 57-73W · 87-55W · 81-53W · 53-66L · 75-60
Penrith P. W
W · 56-53L · 75-80L · 79-56L · 104-72L · 86-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.13Penrith P. W67 : 113Norths Bears W
2024.07.06Penrith P. W45 : 92Norths Bears W
2024.05.11Norths Bears W78 : 68Penrith P. W
2023.07.15Penrith P. W50 : 91Norths Bears W
2023.04.15Norths Bears W93 : 36Penrith P. W