Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia

Norths Bears WHOME · -
78 : 682024.05.11 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
Norths Bears WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+22.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.50
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.83
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Norths Bears W
W · 57-73W · 87-55W · 81-53W · 53-66L · 75-60
Penrith P. W
W · 56-53L · 75-80L · 79-56L · 104-72L · 86-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.13 | Penrith P. W | 67 : 113 | Norths Bears W |
| 2024.07.06 | Penrith P. W | 45 : 92 | Norths Bears W |
| 2024.05.11 | Norths Bears W | 78 : 68 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.07.15 | Penrith P. W | 50 : 91 | Norths Bears W |
| 2023.04.15 | Norths Bears W | 93 : 36 | Penrith P. W |