Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Penrith P. WHOME · -

56 : 532024.05.04 · 종료

Canberra WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY76.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +76.5%

VALUE EDGE+76.5%

FAIR ODDS1.31

GRADES

Penrith P. WAnalysis MetricsCanberra W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-26.50 Point MarginHigher is better +8.67

141.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.17

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

23.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

76.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penrith P. W

L · 75-80L · 79-56L · 104-72L · 86-57L · 94-70

Canberra W

W · 99-80W · 100-78L · 54-98L · 84-52L · 71-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.25	Canberra W	73 : 52	Penrith P. W
2024.05.04	Penrith P. W	56 : 53	Canberra W
2023.06.03	Canberra W	93 : 48	Penrith P. W
2023.04.23	Penrith P. W	46 : 61	Canberra W