Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Sydney Comets WHOME · -

58 : 792024.04.21 · 종료

Newcastle Falcons WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY78.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +78.2%

VALUE EDGE+78.2%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEA

Sydney Comets WAnalysis MetricsNewcastle Falcons W

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-8.25 Point MarginHigher is better +12.00

144.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.33

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

21.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

78.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sydney Comets W

W · 75-56L · 73-78L · 66-99L · 87-67W · 76-85

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 85-59W · 84-52W · 66-86W · 63-76L · 76-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.11	Sydney Comets W	60 : 94	Newcastle Falcons W
2024.04.21	Sydney Comets W	58 : 79	Newcastle Falcons W
2023.07.29	Newcastle Falcons W	76 : 85	Sydney Comets W
2023.07.01	Sydney Comets W	50 : 71	Newcastle Falcons W
2023.04.29	Newcastle Falcons W	86 : 70	Sydney Comets W