Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Sutherland Sharks WHOME · -
74 : 842024.04.20 · 종료
Maitland Mustangs WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Sutherland Sharks WAnalysis MetricsMaitland Mustangs W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.25
147.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sutherland Sharks W
L · 103-53W · 94-70L · 93-88W · 78-92L · 54-65
Maitland Mustangs W
W · 71-68W · 81-49L · 63-76L · 81-57L · 71-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Sutherland Sharks W | 73 : 54 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2024.07.06 | Maitland Mustangs W | 65 : 87 | Sutherland Sharks W |
| 2024.04.20 | Sutherland Sharks W | 74 : 84 | Maitland Mustangs W |
| 2023.07.01 | Maitland Mustangs W | 81 : 68 | Sutherland Sharks W |