Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 East Women Australia

Newcastle Falcons WHOME · -

85 : 592024.04.20 · 종료

Hornsby S. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEA

Newcastle Falcons WAnalysis MetricsHornsby S. W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+12.00 Point MarginHigher is better -7.33

149.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.33

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

88.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Newcastle Falcons W

W · 84-52W · 66-86W · 63-76L · 76-85W · 79-63

Hornsby S. W

L · 50-60L · 90-57L · 50-107L · 93-81L · 54-125

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.12	Newcastle Falcons W	74 : 46	Hornsby S. W
2026.06.14	Hornsby S. W	62 : 94	Newcastle Falcons W
2024.07.06	Hornsby S. W	64 : 81	Newcastle Falcons W
2024.04.20	Newcastle Falcons W	85 : 59	Hornsby S. W
2023.06.17	Newcastle Falcons W	123 : 47	Hornsby S. W