Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 East Women
Australia
Illawarra Hawks WHOME · -
79 : 562024.04.20 · 종료
Penrith P. WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Illawarra Hawks WAnalysis MetricsPenrith P. W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-14.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.50
151.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Illawarra Hawks W
W · 58-73L · 64-54L · 56-104L · 62-86L · 72-45
Penrith P. W
L · 104-72L · 86-57L · 94-70L · 57-47L · 53-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.19 | Illawarra Hawks W | 95 : 65 | Penrith P. W |
| 2026.05.16 | Penrith P. W | 67 : 79 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2024.04.20 | Illawarra Hawks W | 79 : 56 | Penrith P. W |
| 2023.07.02 | Penrith P. W | 58 : 70 | Illawarra Hawks W |
| 2023.03.18 | Illawarra Hawks W | 74 : 83 | Penrith P. W |